Monday, February 01, 2016

The possibility of Bernie Sanders

We await the results of the Iowa caucus with great interest, knowing of course that it has not been any reliable indicator of the national results in the past.  New Hampshire has a much better record of doing that but it is also far from perfect.  With the number of Republican candidates in Iowa and New Hampshire, the field will likely narrow, as funding will dry up for those who are furthest behind.  For the Democrats this turns out to be possibly a crucial test for whether Bernie Sanders has a chance against the establishment endorsed Hillary Clinton.

For what it's worth, and it may be huge, Sanders has plenty of money for the long haul.  He is relying on small donors, not PACs, to fund his campaign, by one report at last count over 750,000 donors, giving more than 3.2 million unique contributions. Those people will likely caucus and those people will likely vote.  They are taking money off of the kitchen table to vote for Bernie.  What happens if this topsy turvy event continues.  The establishment says that Bernie cannot possibly compete as a presidential candidate against the Republicans.  By God, he has admitted to being a socialist.

This is an unusual election season and there is no limit right at this moment on what could happen.  If somehow a Bernie cascade develops and he becomes the nominee, still a big long shot, would he be able to compete?  The answer is yes.  All of the supposed Hillary supporters that she almost owns would have nowhere else to go.  If by any wild chance Cruz were the Republican nominee, who would the blacks and the Spanish speaking immigrants vote for.  The answer is any Democrat in mass, Bernie obviously included.  His tax proposals would certainly need to be adjusted for a national campaign and they would be to some extent.  He is obviously still a politician and he has pushed Clinton so far left that if nominated he needs only to endorse her proposals now to seem more flexible.

We await tonight's results, expecting a Clinton win in Iowa.  If Sanders wins, then, as they used to say in hockey games at the old Madison Square Garden in midtown, "Katie bar the door".  I know what that means but can't explain it.


Blogger Allen Hengst said...

The phrase "Katy bar the door" (also as Katy bar the gate!; sometimes written as Katie) is a very American exclamation, more common in the South than elsewhere, meaning that disaster impends — “watch out,” “get ready for trouble” or “a desperate situation is at hand” ...

7:22 PM  
Blogger John Borden said...

A southern expression, maybe, but I am not aware of that, never heard it in my home in the south. Here in Yankeeland, there was an announcer for the New York Rangers, back to radio days and on to televison, who would always yell "Katie bar the door"whenever the Rangers mounted any comeback. As former good friend who grew up in Queens, Jim McD, once explained it to me years ago, but I forget now. He just mentioned lying in bed and listening to the radio as a child, hearing the phrase.

7:53 PM  
Blogger Allen Hengst said...

Dan Rather used the expression on the night of the 2000 presidential election. I couldn't find it using Google search, but did unearth a precious tribute to this Texan's folksy argot excerpted below:

"I'd like to take this opportunity to wish a fond farewell to CBS news anchor Dan Rather on his recent retirement. Even though it's lights out, Katie bar the door, say your prayers Aunt Ethel for Dan's career, his place in journalistic history is assured. Whether digging for the truth on Watergate like a West Virginia coalminer on a meth binge or reporting from Vietnam where danger was thicker than molasses on an old woman's dentures, Dan Rather has been an institution in America's media universe for half a century. Without Dan Rather's familiar presence, the 6:30 nightly news will seem emptier than a pig roast in Tel Aviv ..."

~ Brent
Vitamin B Glandular Show
March 13, 2005

10:15 PM  

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