Thursday, February 11, 2010

Iran's comments not without some risk

Iran's comments today about its success in higher uranium enrichment are for internal consumption, a pride issue, but may come at a huge price in the external arena. The internal dissent in Iran is beginning to look like a lost cause, as in the remote possibility that something could have overcome the Nazis in Germany? The government's opposition is just too civilized, if that is a criticism. They are educated and cosmopolitan, and it is unlikely that they will be able to successfully confront the leading cleric's absolutism and brutality.

So the question is--- what is the right timing for Israel to seriously attack all major nuclear development areas with the deep pounding bombs that could reach their facilities. The U.S. would quietly regret such action, Saudi Arabia would protest but silently approve, other Middle East nations have always seen the Indo-European Persian Shiites as a threat, so no critical mass would likely oppose Isreal's action. Ahmadinejad, surrogate that he is, could be a target as well for his outspoken and irrational comments about European history.

Action by Isreal should not be a surprise, today or two years from now.

1 Comments:

Anonymous JKM said...

You overestimate the willingness of Israel to act as it did in the past, with premptive strikes against presumed threats. In this age of Al Qaeda and jihad, they would not take the risk to do America's dirty work. Only if overtly threatened would they act.

3:53 PM  

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