Kentucky Derby picks --- 5:50pm today

Favorite pick is a long shot, Charming Kitten ridden by the experienced Edgar Prado.  He knows how to win.  His horse is not necessarily the best, but the track is dry on the rail, muddy in the middle, and aired out on the outside. His 15 pole position may be a benefit, repeat that this favorite is a long shot and that is where the real money is made, but the money bet here is a modest amount.  I am only a gambler of any consequence in the stock market, and that can be studied and projected, not perfectly but with a lot more information than a horse race

Next two picks are just unlikely hopes, Mylute at number six pole with Rosie Napravanik as jockey, an incredible story if it could work out but she does not have a long term history with this horse and given the track condition her pole position at 6 is just about the worst unless she can get to the rail immediately.  The other is Goldencents with Kevin Krieger on board.  I like possible incredible news, and Kevin is black and like Rosie would make history, and the horse is partially owned by Rick Pitino, the Louisville coach just coming off a national championship.  Could his mojo hold?