Yet another Republican debate and the President on 60 minutes
This will, I hope, be a short post.
The most recent Republican debate had the home grown Texas braggert and near idiot Rick Perry, the self anointed saint Rick Santorum, the totally uninformed, scripted, but perhaps well meaning Michelle Bachman, the provocative, interesting, but at times completely unrealistic Ron Paul, the mercurial well groomed, well informed but anything goes including a foot in the mouth Mitt Romney, and the entertaining, often informed, risk taking, completely unpredictable, and reliably self loving Newt Gingrich.
There's is not much difference in what they say.
That about says it all. Who knows what will happen before the primaries. Maybe Herman Cain will sign up again with his wife, a choir, and a preacher by his side.
If I had to guess I would go with the ratings and say Gingrich may win in Iowa, Paul has a chance to sneak in a win in Iowa, Bachman is not out of it, and Romney has no chance there. Romney has a chance to win in New Hampshire as does Paul, but Gingrich is a long shot. If she miraculously gets that far, Bachman could surprise in South Carolina and Romney will lose big there. He needs to get beyond these little states. If the stupid vote comes out big in the deep South and the West, then Perry could be a threat. Who has any idea, but the point is that this is so far from over no one knows what the Republicans will come up with. Could Huntsman actually come up as a real candidate in New Hampshire and surprise everyone with his intelligence and his diligent work there. Or at the end of it all does Romney's money and campaign organization pretty much have it all pinned down.
These events are addicting but at the moment all based on debating skills(Gingrich), ideas(Paul), and money(Romney). The minor differences in their usually naive and recidivist views are minimal, with the exception at times of Paul and Gingrich.
Who knows.
Obama's interview on 60 Minutes tonight highlighted his political strengths and weaknesses. He understands why we are where we are without question and he sees the need for balanced compromise that does not do a mannah from heaven deal with the poor. But also he does not understand how passionless and entitled he sounds when he expresses his views and how well rehearsed he comes across as at all times. Reagan, Clinton, and even Bush #2 often did not sound rehearsed and often sounded like they were really seriously expressive of their views. Letting the mentally lame Steve Kroft manage the interview tonight without some seriously pissed off replies at some of his pre-orchestrated questions just is not going to gather support.
It's taking a bet on the possibility that his union, liberal, and racial base will not be able to live with any Republican that is nominated, and playing it safe and "Presidential" is his way to a second term. That might be a mistake.
Enough from ENS tonight. How many people did ENS annoy or anger - not my problem.
---Apologetic Postscript written just as the above has been written---ENS seriously respects the intelligence and insight of many people who live in some of our great deep South and western states. No disrespect was meant in my comments to those people. But even those who live there would have to admit that there is a substantial base of voters who would fall for Perry just based on his jargon and aggression.
The most recent Republican debate had the home grown Texas braggert and near idiot Rick Perry, the self anointed saint Rick Santorum, the totally uninformed, scripted, but perhaps well meaning Michelle Bachman, the provocative, interesting, but at times completely unrealistic Ron Paul, the mercurial well groomed, well informed but anything goes including a foot in the mouth Mitt Romney, and the entertaining, often informed, risk taking, completely unpredictable, and reliably self loving Newt Gingrich.
There's is not much difference in what they say.
That about says it all. Who knows what will happen before the primaries. Maybe Herman Cain will sign up again with his wife, a choir, and a preacher by his side.
If I had to guess I would go with the ratings and say Gingrich may win in Iowa, Paul has a chance to sneak in a win in Iowa, Bachman is not out of it, and Romney has no chance there. Romney has a chance to win in New Hampshire as does Paul, but Gingrich is a long shot. If she miraculously gets that far, Bachman could surprise in South Carolina and Romney will lose big there. He needs to get beyond these little states. If the stupid vote comes out big in the deep South and the West, then Perry could be a threat. Who has any idea, but the point is that this is so far from over no one knows what the Republicans will come up with. Could Huntsman actually come up as a real candidate in New Hampshire and surprise everyone with his intelligence and his diligent work there. Or at the end of it all does Romney's money and campaign organization pretty much have it all pinned down.
These events are addicting but at the moment all based on debating skills(Gingrich), ideas(Paul), and money(Romney). The minor differences in their usually naive and recidivist views are minimal, with the exception at times of Paul and Gingrich.
Who knows.
Obama's interview on 60 Minutes tonight highlighted his political strengths and weaknesses. He understands why we are where we are without question and he sees the need for balanced compromise that does not do a mannah from heaven deal with the poor. But also he does not understand how passionless and entitled he sounds when he expresses his views and how well rehearsed he comes across as at all times. Reagan, Clinton, and even Bush #2 often did not sound rehearsed and often sounded like they were really seriously expressive of their views. Letting the mentally lame Steve Kroft manage the interview tonight without some seriously pissed off replies at some of his pre-orchestrated questions just is not going to gather support.
It's taking a bet on the possibility that his union, liberal, and racial base will not be able to live with any Republican that is nominated, and playing it safe and "Presidential" is his way to a second term. That might be a mistake.
Enough from ENS tonight. How many people did ENS annoy or anger - not my problem.
---Apologetic Postscript written just as the above has been written---ENS seriously respects the intelligence and insight of many people who live in some of our great deep South and western states. No disrespect was meant in my comments to those people. But even those who live there would have to admit that there is a substantial base of voters who would fall for Perry just based on his jargon and aggression.
posted by John Borden at 8:29 PM
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